Blind Prediction Contests

2025 Blind Prediction Contest

The ETH zürich, the NTU of Athens, and PEER invite the earthquake engineering community to participate in a blind prediction contest where the response of a small-scale physical model of a masonry structure to a bin of ground motions is sought.

2024 Blind Prediction Contest

The University of California, San Diego Structural Engineering Department invites the structural engineering community to participate in the prediction of the in-ground hinge performance of steel pipe pile embedded in soil. This project is funded by the National Institute of Standards and...

2022 Blind Prediction Contest

PEER is organizing a blind prediction contest for predicting the experimental results obtained from a Shaking Table test campaign carried out at the PEER Center, Berkeley, California, in collaboration with University of Trento, Italy. The experimental tests, performed on a steel Moment Resisting...

2021 Thick Foundation Element Blind Prediction Contest

We designed this blind prediction contest for relatively easy participation. We only ask that you predict the failure mode and strength of each of the two spans of the deep beam. You may use a strength calculation method involving any degree of sophistication that you choose, although the...

2021 Reinforced Concrete Column Blind Prediction Contest

We invite you to participate in the prediction of the response of a reinforced concrete column subjected to lateral deformation. This invitation is based on an experimental test of a concrete column conducted in 2020, the results of which have not yet been published. The test column is...

2019 Blind Prediction Contest

PEER organized a blind prediction contest to predict the maximum bi-directional seismic response of a four-column rocking podium structure excited by artificially generated ground motions applied by a shaking table. The rocking podium structure was designed by the ETH Zurich team led by Prof...

2018 Blind Prediction Contest

As a part of this PEER-funded project, a large-scale shaking table test was recently conducted at UCSD’s Powell Laboratory (link is external)(link is external) using the 2.9 meter tall soil laminar box which is the basis for this blind prediction competition. The experiment focused on the response...

2017 Blind Prediction Contest

PEER organized a blind prediction contest for a bridge bent that consists of two self-centering resilient columns tested on the PEER UC Berkeley shaking table in October 2017. The specimen was subjected to increasing intensity shaking using several near-fault ground motion records until significant peak drifts are reached.

2011 BPC image

2011 Blind Prediction Contest

PEER and NEES are sponsoring a blind prediction contest for two, full-scale, four-story buildings tested simultaneously on the NIED E-Defense shake table in December 2010. The two buildings are similar, with the same height and floor plan; one building utilizes a conventional reinforced concrete (RC) structural system with shear walls and moment frames whereas the other utilizes the same systems constructed with post-tensioned (PT) members. The buildings were subjected to increasing intensity shaking using the JMA-Kobe record until a near-collapse state is reached.